Why the Same Call Is Right at One Circuit and Wrong at Another
All of the above reduces to a small set of circuit properties: how abrasive the surface is, how much lateral load the corners impose, how well the tyres can be cooled, how long the pit lane is, and how possible overtaking is. Change any one and the optimal strategy changes with it. A circuit that punishes tyres and allows passing rewards extra stops. A circuit that is gentle on rubber and impossible to pass on rewards a single stop, and a defensive one at that, even if a faster strategy exists on paper.
This is why raw pace decides fewer races than it should. The fastest car still has to choose a sequence of compounds before it knows how the race will unfold, commit under time pressure, and execute against opponents choosing differently for their own reasons. A strategy that is slightly better, applied to a car that is slightly slower, wins routinely. Tyres are not a supporting variable in Formula 1. They are the medium the race is contested in.